← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #4
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #4
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1272
· median 1272
· range 1231–1313
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1236
Q3 1373
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
